BTC/NGN ₦68,420,000
▲ 2.40%
ETH/NGN ₦3,840,000
▲ 1.80%
USD/NGN ₦1,602
▼ 0.30%
NGSE 98,240
▲ 0.70%
DANGCEM ₦430.50
▲ 1.20%
SOL/NGN ₦218,400
▲ 3.20%
CRUDE $82.40
▼ 1.10%
ZENITH ₦42.50
▲ 0.90%
GOLD $2,618
▲ 0.40%
SEPLAT ₦3,850
▲ 2.10%
BTC/NGN ₦68,420,000
▲ 2.40%
ETH/NGN ₦3,840,000
▲ 1.80%
USD/NGN ₦1,602
▼ 0.30%
NGSE 98,240
▲ 0.70%
DANGCEM ₦430.50
▲ 1.20%
SOL/NGN ₦218,400
▲ 3.20%
CRUDE $82.40
▼ 1.10%
ZENITH ₦42.50
▲ 0.90%
GOLD $2,618
▲ 0.40%
SEPLAT ₦3,850
▲ 2.10%
BTC/NGN ₦68,420,000
▲ 2.40%
ETH/NGN ₦3,840,000
▲ 1.80%
USD/NGN ₦1,602
▼ 0.30%
NGSE 98,240
▲ 0.70%
DANGCEM ₦430.50
▲ 1.20%
SOL/NGN ₦218,400
▲ 3.20%
CRUDE $82.40
▼ 1.10%
ZENITH ₦42.50
▲ 0.90%
GOLD $2,618
▲ 0.40%
SEPLAT ₦3,850
▲ 2.10%
BTC/NGN ₦68,420,000
▲ 2.40%
ETH/NGN ₦3,840,000
▲ 1.80%
USD/NGN ₦1,602
▼ 0.30%
NGSE 98,240
▲ 0.70%
DANGCEM ₦430.50
▲ 1.20%
SOL/NGN ₦218,400
▲ 3.20%
CRUDE $82.40
▼ 1.10%
ZENITH ₦42.50
▲ 0.90%
GOLD $2,618
▲ 0.40%
SEPLAT ₦3,850
▲ 2.10%
Back to Markets
LIVE MARKET
economy AI VERIFIED

Will petrol pump price fall below ₦1,200/litre in Lagos within 7 days?

Resolves YES if at least 3 independent filling stations in Lagos are verified to be selling PMS at below ₦1,200 per litre within 7 days of this market creation, based on Dangote Refinery commercial distribution commencing.

6d 23h left
₦18,400,000 Vol
LMSR Pricing
Positions
4,820
Liquidity
2000
Max Cap
₦20M
Exposure
₦12,400,000
Volatility
0.19σ
Depth
₦1,250,000

Price Probability

₦799.05
₦640.25
₦646.84
₦402.61
₦443.76
₦604.92
₦622.82
₦708.61
₦785.03
₦459.29
₦762.83
₦689.93
₦415.23
₦508.59
₦660.99
₦542.00
₦491.17
₦623.84
₦580.46
₦625.48
₦762.03
₦658.18
₦493.76
₦581.50
₦459.10
₦791.87
₦712.57
₦451.67
₦607.93
₦671.42
0%
Yes Probability

Resolution Criteria

Verified by NMDPRA pump price tracker and 3+ independent media reports with photographic evidence.

Contracts resolve to ₦1000.00 if the event occurs, and ₦0.00 if it does not. Pricing follows the Logarithmic Market Scoring Rule (LMSR) to ensure liquidity.

Recent Trades

Live Updates
DO
Danjuma O.
2m ago
YES
₦5,000
Price
₦0.74
CA
Chisom A.
5m ago
NO
₦1,200
Price
₦0.26
KS
Kolawole S.
12m ago
YES
₦25,000
Price
₦0.72
AU
Adaeze U.
15m ago
YES
₦800
Price
₦0.75

Place Trade

7d YES change
+8.2%
Peak YES
76%
AI Score
87%
Bal: ₦0.00
₦
Your Pick YES
Decimal Odds 1612.90x
Gross Payout ₦1,612,903.23
Platform Fee (2.5%) -₦25.00
You Win ₦1,612,878.23

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